# Solved – How to calculate the tipping point of over/under odds in Football

I am trying to understand how game odds work. One scenario I came across was the over/under scores for football (soccer) games in the form of a table like this:

``Date        Home Team   Away Team   Handicap    Over    Under   Payout 4/17/2016   Team A      Team B      +0.5        1.03    12.41   95.20% 4/17/2016   Team A      Team B      +0.75       1.04    10      94.20% 4/17/2016   Team A      Team B      +1          1.03    11.5    94.50% 4/17/2016   Team A      Team B      +1.25       1.12    6.13    94.70% 4/17/2016   Team A      Team B      +1.5        1.21    4.31    94.40% 4/17/2016   Team A      Team B      +1.75       1.24    3.93    94.20% 4/17/2016   Team A      Team B      +2          1.29    3.6     95.00% 4/17/2016   Team A      Team B      +2.25       1.48    2.64    95.00% 4/17/2016   Team A      Team B      +2.5        1.68    2.18    94.80% 4/17/2016   Team A      Team B      +2.75       1.86    1.96    95.40% 4/17/2016   Team A      Team B      +3          2.16    1.73    96.00% 4/17/2016   Team A      Team B      +3.25       2.42    1.57    95.00% 4/17/2016   Team A      Team B      +3.5        2.66    1.46    94.10% 4/17/2016   Team A      Team B      +3.75       3.04    1.37    94.20% 4/17/2016   Team A      Team B      +4          3.9     1.26    95.20% 4/17/2016   Team A      Team B      +4.25       4.25    1.21    94.20% 4/17/2016   Team A      Team B      +4.5        4.85    1.17    94.60% 4/17/2016   Team A      Team B      +4.75       5.95    1.13    95.00% 4/17/2016   Team A      Team B      +5          7.7     1.08    94.70% ``

I understand that `2.5 goals per game` (handicap here) is generally the average goals scored, but I want to know from this data exactly what the market is thinking. We may also call it the tipping point or break-even point.

How would I calculate that value?

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